Mergers as Determinants of Low Capital Costs: The Mexico Case by Means of the Application of a Fuzzy Regression Model
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##
In this study we analyze whether mergers reduce
the capital cost of public companies in Mexico. For this
purpose, we start with a sample made up by companies from
different sectors that form the Stock Market Index (IPC,
by its name in Spanish) that made an acquisition operation
approved by the Mexican authorities during 2010 and 2011.
In order to estimate the capital cost we used the traditional
CAPM and the D-CAPM, which considers a downtrend risk.
Both estimates were made three years before and three years
later after the acquisition with two measuring methods:
Ordinary Least Squares and Fuzzy Regression. The results
show an advantage of the fuzzy regression method over the
ordinary least squares, mainly for periods with a high uncertainty.
Besides, taking into account the estimations of the
D-CAPM model, we can conclude that for the companies in
the sample, there is a 0.62 to 0.65 chance of reduction in the
capital cost after the merger.
capital cost, mergers, fuzzy regression, downtrend riskcosto de capital, fusiones, regresión borrosa, riesgo a la bajacusto de capital, fusões, regressão fuzzy, risco à baixa