Resumen
Diversos estudios han identificado una asociación significativa entre la autoeficacia y la creación del emprendimiento por oportunidad. Sin embargo, el análisis sobre cómo la autopercepción de los individuos respecto al contexto emprendedor se relaciona con el emprendimiento por oportunidad –y cómo el sexo modera estas relaciones en economías emergentes– sigue siendo limitado. Para abordar este vacío, este estudio examina en qué medida la autoeficacia y la percepción del contexto se asocian con una mayor probabilidad de ser un emprendedor por oportunidad, evaluando el género como una variable moderadora. Metodología: los datos se obtuvieron de la Encuesta a Población Adulta (APS, por sus siglas en inglés) del Monitor Global de Emprendimiento (GEM por sus siglas en inglés) para el periodo 2010-2023. Se construyó un panel desbalanceado para el conjunto de países emergentes participantes en el GEM. Se desarrollaron tres modelos de regresión logística mediante un enfoque de saturación de variables para probar y validar las hipótesis planteadas. Resultados: aunque las variables de autoeficacia y autopercepción del contexto emprendedor mostraron una asociación significativa con el emprendimiento por oportunidad, la fuerza y la dirección de esta relación variaron, revelando un efecto moderador diferenciado entre hombres y mujeres en la muestra de países emergentes analizada.
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Derechos de autor 2026 León Darío Parra Bernal , Fabian Osorio Tinoco, Fernando Pereira Laverde

