Abstract
Hoy la región del Alto Magdalena cuenta con ocho estaciones de monitoreo,administradas principalmente por el Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y EstudiosAmbientales (Ideam) y la Corporación Autónoma Regional de Cundinamarca (CAR),lo cual evidencia que existe un registro incompleto de la variables climáticas, razón porlo cual es necesario aplicar una metodología para el arreglo estadístico de datos quecombine conceptos como la doble masa, el análisis comparativo del comportamiento,la tendencia y el ajuste estacional, los cuales facilitan la consolidación de la materiaprima para la construcción de escenarios de cambio climático a partir de laimplementación de simuladores regionales del clima que respondan a la necesidad deevaluar la vulnerabilidad de Girardot frente a esta problemática.Ambiente y Desarrollo is registered under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License. Thus, this work may be reproduced, distributed, and publicly shared in digital format, as long as the names of the authors and Pontificia Universidad Javeriana are acknowledged. Others are allowed to quote, adapt, transform, auto-archive, republish, and create based on this material, for any purpose (even commercial ones), provided the authorship is duly acknowledged, a link to the original work is provided, and it is specified if changes have been made. Pontificia Universidad Javeriana does not hold the rights of published works and the authors are solely responsible for the contents of their works; they keep the moral, intellectual, privacy, and publicity rights.
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