Keywords
agricultura
seguridad alimentaria
América Latina
Caribe
economía
How to Cite
Abstract
En América Latina y el Caribe (ALC), el arroz, el trigo, el maíz, el frijol y la soya juegan un papel importante debido a sus aportes a la economía y a la seguridad alimentaria. Dada la existencia de evidencia que señala que a nivel mundial se presentarían cambios en el clima en el mediano plazo, en el presente texto se evalúan los impactos socioeconómicos que habría a niveles de ALC si no fueran implementadas medidas de adaptación. Con este fin, se realiza una integración entre modelos climáticos, de cultivos y económicos. Los resultados muestran que los crecimientos de las producciones de maíz y frijol caerían de manera importante en Nicaragua, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Colombia, Venezuela y Brasil, y los del arroz y trigo presentarían importantes disminuciones en Brasil, Argentina y Uruguay. Finalmente, se encuentra que el cambio climático tiene la capacidad de frenar parte de los avances en materia de seguridad alimentaria en la región, debido a sus efectos negativos sobre la disponibilidad de alimentos.
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