Publicado jun 29, 2013



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Daniel Gómez-Abella

Catherine Pereira-Villa

Loly Aylú Gaitán-Guerrero

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Resumen

 


El artículo explora las oportunidades de crecimiento, diversificación y competencia del comercio entre Colombia y Turquía, y aquellas que se derivarían con la suscripción de un tratado de libre comercio (TLC). Se calculan cinco indicadores de comercio y política comercial y se utiliza información desagregada del año 2010 para hacer simulaciones de equilibrio parcial y estimar los efectos de comercio, bienestar e ingreso que tendría el eventual acuerdo. Los resultados muestran que una reducción arancelaria produciría un aumento del comercio de 3,7% el primer año, reflejado en importaciones colombianas del sector textil y en exportaciones de banano hacía Turquía; se crearía comercio en términos netos y la desviación de comercio afectaría a la Unión Europea, Estados Unidos y Ecuador; los consumidores colombianos y turcos ganarían en términos de bienestar, y se reduciría más el recaudo tributario de Turquía que el de Colombia.


 

Keywords

Colombia - Turkey free trade agreement, trade creation, welfare effects, partial equilibrium simulationtratado de libre comercio, Colombia, Turquía, creación de comercio, efecto bienestar, simulación de equilibrio parcialtratado de livre comércio Colômbia-Turquia, criação de comércio, efeito bem-estar, simulação de equilíbrio parcial

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Cómo citar
Gómez-Abella, D., Pereira-Villa, C., & Gaitán-Guerrero, L. A. (2013). Impacto de un TLC en el comercio entre Colombia y Turquía. Cuadernos De Administración, 26(46), 159–199. https://doi.org/10.11144/Javeriana.cao26-46.itce
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Artículos