Published Jun 1, 2009



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Diego Alonso Agudelo Rueda

Jorge Hernán Uribe Estrada

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Abstract
As the hypothesis of the weak efficiency of the market predicts, empirical evidence of this research supports the supposition that it is not possible to obtain significant and statistically robust economic benefits when implementing investment strategies based on 10 rules of technical analysis (rolling averages, optimised filters and eight Japanese veil strategies) in 19 Colombian shares. Unlike other similar research, this study implements the evidence of investment strategies, and not of self-correlation, and incorporates out-of-sample tests to avoid data snooping, considerations of transaction costs, and estimations of the statistical significance of the profitability of the rules with the use of the bootstrapping method. It should be noted that in some cases the rules present yields in excess of those of the passive strategy, but not in a stable or statistically significant manner.
Keywords

data snooping, análise técnica, mercado acionista colombiano, eficiência de mercado, simulação, bootstrappingdata snooping, análisis técnico, mercado accionario colombiano, eficiencia de mercado, simulación, bootstrappingdata snooping, technical analysis, Colombian equities market, market efficiency, simulation, bootstrapping

References
How to Cite
Agudelo Rueda, D. A., & Uribe Estrada, J. H. (2009). Reality or sophistry? Testing the technical analysis for Colombian shares. Cuadernos De Administración, 22(38). Retrieved from https://revistas.javeriana.edu.co/index.php/cuadernos_admon/article/view/3871
Section
Artículos